Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Portrait: Phillies 3B Maikel Franco


Player: Maikel Franco
Position: 3B
Listed Height/Weight: 6-1, 180
Bats/Throws: R/R
Hometown: Azua, Dominican Republic
Acquired: Signed by the Phillies on January 13, 2010

Background/Stats: Lauded for his power potential, Franco garnered a $100,000 signing bonus from the Philadelphia Phillies in January 2010.  According to Baseball America, many teams were scared away after Franco turned in an abhorrent 7.7 second 60-yard dash time, but well-respected international supervisor Sal Agostinelli saw past the poor foot speed and believed in Franco’s other tools and potential. In 2010, Franco reported to the Phillies’ Gulf Coast League team in Clearwater and hit .222/.292/.330 in 194 at-bats as a 17-year-old.  In 2011, the Phillies sent Franco to Williamsport, their short-season affiliate in the New York-Penn League before a brief stint with their full-season affiliate in the South Atlantic League, the Lakewood Blue Claws. Franco only managed a meager .123/149/.200 in just 65 at-bats with Lakewood, and he was reassigned to Williamsport, where he finished the 2011 season.  While Franco’s struggles in Low-A were to be expected given his youth and inexperience (only 18 at the time), the results at Williamsport painted a much prettier portrait of the player. Franco hit .287/.367/.411 in 202 at-bats for the club. In 2012, Franco broke the spring with the Lakewood Blue Claws, as the Phillies felt that he would be able to handle the transition to full-season ball in the South Atlantic League.  Statistically speaking Franco’s 2012 was a tremendous success. He spent the majority of the season as a 19-year-old in a league in which the average (median) age is 22 and hit .280/.336/.439 and began to tap into some of his power with 32 2B and 14 HR.  However, it was truly a tale of two halves, as Franco hit .207/.269/.338 before the Sally All-Star Break and a whopping .346/.395/.530 after the break.

Clearly, Franco had a breakthrough second-half and his late season surge will probably allow the Phillies to start him in High-A next season.  With that being said, I was able to see Franco in game action during my time in North Carolina and the youngster clearly still has issues that need addressing.

Firsthand Observations: I had the opportunity to see Franco and the Lakewood Blue Claws play a doubleheader against the Hickory Crawdads while on assignment for my internship with Baseball America. As I mentioned above, Franco really came into his own during the second half of the season, and given the fact that I watched Franco play on July 22nd (post All-Star break), one would expect Franco to have put on a show. I mean he finished the month with a .327/.389/.496 line.  However, my fellow intern and I both came away from the two games unimpressed with Franco.  Obviously, it would be foolish to draw too much from one day’s worth of game action, but there were some red flags.

First, was the body. Now, Franco is not a “bad-body” type of player, but he looked heavier than his listed 180 pounds (I’d say about 190-195) with some baby fat.  His 6-foot-1 frame leaves little room for further projection.  He also looked a bit sloppy in the field with his actions, struggling to field balls cleanly and explode into a good throwing position.  All in all, he looked very sluggish and disinterested in the field.  One positive, however, is his arm strength which would easily grade out at plus (60) and perhaps plus-plus (70).

As I mentioned in the background section, Franco is clearly not a threat on the basepaths.  Unfortunately, I either did not either clock his home-first splits or forgot to record them, as I don’t have anything on his foot-speed in my notes.  Regardless, one should safely be able to assume that his speed is below-average at best.

Third basemen and any corner position player make their living with the lumber. Franco’s strong showing in 2012 as a 19-year-old should not be discredited. Obviously he was able to adjust to the environment and level of pitching in the second half to put up some solid numbers.  However, in the two games that I saw him, Franco went 1-for-6 with 2 K, and I can’t remember him barreling a ball.  While the results weren’t particularly impressive, I was also not a fan of the process.  I felt that Franco started with his hands to close to his head and body.  As the pitcher got into his windup and prepared to release the ball, Franco began a lengthy load process in which his hands went down, up, and down again.  All of this movement and noise led to an extremely lengthy swing. One could see the potential for outlandish power if solid contact were made, but the elongated swing path really seemed to hinder any chance for barreling half-way decent pitches.  Over the course of the double header Franco was caught out front-footed numerous times and he did not show the ability to adequately diagnose breaking pitches out of the hand.

Far too many times I feel that people try to isolate a flaw within the hitting process. It is easy and convenient to say that X causes Y, and I am tempted to trace Franco’s problems with his setup and noisy trigger.  However, it should be remembered that I only saw Franco in six at-bats.  Perhaps he was just feeling the grind from playing every day in his first full season and was lackadaisical with his attention to detail.  Maybe he was not prepared to play because of the weather forecast (was supposed to rain yet again) or was not particularly thrilled of the idea of playing a double header in 95 degree heat. 

Going Forward: Franco will most likely begin the 2013 season in the Florida State League, where I hope to be able see him again.  The power potential is impressive, but I’m not sure how much it will play at the next level given his current propensity to get pull-happy, front-footed, and be lengthy in his swing. If there is one thing that did surprise me in going back to do research for this portrait, it is that Franco only struck out in 14.4% of his plate appearances. Given what I saw I was expecting it to be much higher.  With that being said, while the results/statistics from his 2012 campaign are encouraging, I personally would not be willing to bet on a lengthy MLB career (feel free to bash me in the comments). However, since he is so young, many of his issues and flaws can still be addressed over the coming two or three years, and it will be interesting to see how Franco adjusts to quality breaking balls.

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